Proven: Why Do 99% Accurate Tests Fail?
9:13
YouTubeMathematically Proven
Proven: Why Do 99% Accurate Tests Fail?
A medical test is 99% accurate. So if you test positive, you're 99% certain you have the disease, right? Wrong. In some cases, your chance is no better than a coin toss (50%). This isn't a trick; it's a mathematical reality that doctors, judges, and financial analysts often get wrong. This is the Base Rate Fallacy, and understanding it will ...
19 views5 days ago
Base Rate Fallacy Examples
The defense against base rate fallacy is to never accept a stat at face value, and always look for the underlying statistics. I cover this and other manipulation tactics in Clear Thinker, which you can check out a preview at ClearThinkerAcademy.com Comment Clear and I’ll DM you the link. | thatskaizen
The defense against base rate fallacy is to never accept a stat at face value, and always look for the underlying statistics. I cover this and other manipulation tactics in Clear Thinker, which you can check out a preview at ClearThinkerAcademy.com Comment Clear and I’ll DM you the link. | thatskaizen
Facebookthatskaizen
473.6K views3 months ago
Ad Hominem Fallacy | Definition, Facts & Examples
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Ad Hominem Fallacy | Definition, Facts & Examples
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10 Base Rate Fallacy Examples
10 Base Rate Fallacy Examples
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Oct 2, 2022
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On 10/20/21, 49 of the 199 North Dakotans hospitalized due to COVID-19 are fully vaccinated. Dr. Paul Carson from the NDSU Center for Immunization Research & Education explains how the "base rate fallacy" may be affecting your perception of that number. | ND Health and Human Services
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