The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck David Spiegelhalter Pelican (2024) As I sat down to read David Spiegelhalter’s The Art of Uncertainty, much of the world’s ...
Navigating chaos: The science of uncertainty and how to build resilience in a constant state of flux
In one research study, participants were given a choice: Either they could pay $38 to guarantee they would get a $50 gift certificate, or they could pay $28 to enter a lottery for a chance to win ...
Measurement uncertainty, as described in ISO/IEC Guide 98, is a “parameter, associated with the result of a measurement, [which] characterizes the dispersion of values that could reasonably be ...
Uncertainty seems to be everywhere right now. Uncertainty about the economy, politics, careers, weather, and wars, to name just a few. Doubt sets in anytime we face a decision with incomplete or ...
PV yield forecasts are widely considered to be inaccurate, partly because they underestimate uncertainty. Image: Tilt Renewables. The uncertainty in energy yield forecasts is frequently underestimated ...
The only certainty that exists in today’s workforce is change. Over the past few years, this change has felt relentless, unpredictable and often disorienting. From the rise of remote work to "return ...
Disruption is the new normal in the modern marketplace. You may have a novel idea that captures the excitement of your industry today, only to find your concepts becoming outdated and irrelevant ...
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