A humped yield curve is a relatively rare type of yield curve that results when the interest rates on medium-term fixed income securities are higher than the rates of both long and short-term ...
Bull Steepening All yields fall, with short-term yields likely falling faster. Bond prices rise across the board. When the ...
In my 50-plus years of running money, I’ve noticed that the biggest market moves come from factors that have gone unnoticed – and right now, there’s a doozy lurking under the table. Amid all the ...
No foolproof formula predicts the economy in general or recessions in particular, but one of the indicator does a better job than the others: the yield curve. If one plots a chart of interest rates ...
The yield curve, a key economic indicator that has been used to predict recessions, is renewing fears in the U.S. bond markets. The difference between the yield on the two-year and 10-year Treasury ...
Discover how the spot rate Treasury curve—a yield curve from Treasury spot rates—serves as a critical tool for bond pricing and market predictions.
Franklin Templeton reports that New York municipal bond yields remain attractive despite recent market volatility. Review ...
Adaptation is recommended for 2026. By combining 2-year AA corporate bonds for yield and long-duration government bonds for ...
Bond traders loaded up wagers on a popular strategy favoring short-end Treasuries over longer-dated debt after an unexpected uptick in November unemployment added to mixed signals clouding the outlook ...
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - MARCH 09: Yield curve inversion markets to markets and could happen in 2022 on the bond market's current trajectory (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images) One of the best ...
The yield curve, which represents how much it costs to borrow money, has predicted every recession since the 1960s. It’s also one big reason why the Federal Reserve, which concludes its two-day policy ...
Investors are feeling better about the economy, but the yield curve has already predicted a recession. By Matt Phillips The message from Wall Street is clear: The American economy is not in the kind ...