Source: Thunder Bay, Canada. Used with permission of Dan Hunt, MD. Coincidences attract our attention because they seem weird, odd, or unlikely. Their improbability stimulates wonder—“what are the ...
Traders use Polymarket to predict outcomes, but the platform itself doesn't predict future events. It measures how the crowd currently estimates probability based on available information, similar to ...
Life is uncertain. None of us know what is going to happen. We know little of what has happened in the past or is happening now outside our immediate experience. Uncertainty has been called the ...
Feeling lucky? Astronomers say that a newly identified space rock, potentially as big as a football field, has a better than 1% chance of crashing into Earth on Dec. 22, 2032. Those odds may seem ...
In what first appears like a rather morbid game of “which would you rather?”, researchers have released a new study that games out how likely the average person is to die should one of various mishaps ...