Discover how probability distribution methods can help predict stock market returns and improve investment decisions. Learn to assess risk and potential gains.

James Chen, CMT is an expert trader, investment adviser, and global market strategist. Khadija Khartit is a strategy, investment, and funding expert, and an educator of fintech and strategic finance ...

Everyone agrees the normal distribution isn't a great statistical model for stock market returns, but no generally accepted alternative has emerged. A bottom-up simulation points to the Laplace ...

Forecasting for any small business involves guesswork. You know your business and its past performance, but you may not be comfortable predicting the future. Using Excel is a great way to perform what ...