The extreme yield curve inversion over the past year indicates that time is running out for the current macro backdrop. Gold is generally correlated to a steepening yield curve, while stocks are ...
Analysts at former Merril Lynch bank question the predictive power of the U.S. yield curve inversion for recessions. Economic strength, Fed rate hikes, and market stability cast doubts on traditional ...
Ignore the inversion of 5- and 10-year Treasury yields, as they are unreliable recession indicators. The 2- and 10-year yields are more reliable and have not inverted. A steepening of the curve from ...
What does this mean to you and your wallet? Here’s a look at inverted yield curves. What is a yield curve? A yield curve is a line that plots the interest rates of similar bonds that have different ...
Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. I show you how to save and invest. Historically one of the best recession indicators is yield curve inversion. The U.S. yield ...
Rising interest rates are punitive for longer-dated bonds. Combine that with fixed income investors’ fears about yield curve inversion, and it’s not surprising that many market participants are ...