Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Bryce Hoffman writes about leadership, strategy, and decision making. The gambler’s fallacy is ...

Narrative fallacy is a term introduced by Nassim Taleb [1]. It refers to our difficulty looking at a sequence of facts without connecting them in some way, either to each other or to something else we ...

Recently I've been deep-diving into a model of brain, mind, and behavior—active inference and the free energy principle—developed by a leading neuroscientist and computational psychiatrist Karl ...

Learn about the Broken Window Fallacy in economics and discover how destruction impacts economic growth by diverting resources from productive use.

Do these sound like promises you’ve made to yourself? Once I get the promotion, I’ll feel like my career is on track. After this busy period, I won’t have to work so much and can spend time doing ...