A trough, in economic terms, can refer to a stage in the business cycle where activity is bottoming, or where prices are bottoming, before a rise.

Using the US stock market as a guide suggests that business cycle conditions remain strong in terms of the recovery since the current economic expansion began in May 2020. The recovery in nonfarm ...

What are economic cycles? Why is it important to understand economic cycles? What are the main causes of economic cycles? What are the key indicators of economic cycles? How can you predict a ...

Among the indicators that have failed to provide timely signals of an approaching recession: the yield curve, the Leading Economic Index, and temporary help employment, which Axios notes “was big tell ...

A gauge of leading indicators ticked up in November for the first time since February 2022 on a rising stock market and rebound in the construction sector following President-elect Donald Trump's win.

The U.S. economy faces more challenging conditions ahead, with high inflation, elevated interest rates and rising household debt to weigh on growth in 2024, a monthly indicator said. The Conference ...

One reason for the difficulty in forecasting economic events is that predictions must be based largely on statistics that are often both old and incomplete. Last week the Commerce Department sought to ...

The U.S. economy is expected to slow in 2026 amid a downturn in optimism among households and businesses, according to a basket of monthly economic indicators. The Leading Economic Index, or LEI, ...

An indicator of the U.S. economic outlook eased back in March, reversing gains in the previous month with growth set to cool in the months ahead. The Conference Board said Thursday that its Leading ...

Robert Kelly is managing director of XTS Energy LLC, and has more than three decades of experience as a business executive. He is a professor of economics and has raised more than $4.5 billion in ...